Posted on: 07/02/2016

Election model: Clinton will win easily

Democratic chances of winning the White House remain strong, according to a closely followed economic election model. Moody"s Analytics is forecasting that Hillary Clinton, the presumptive Democratic nominee, will easily win the presidency in November over Republican Donald Trump, the June forecast predicts. The latest model shows for the fourth straight month that the Democratic nominee will win 332 electoral votes, compared with 206 for the Republican nominee. The model chooses a party, not a candidate, to win. "The closer we come to election day, the more that two-year change is based in history and less on our economic forecasts," said Dan White, a Moodys economist who oversees the monthly model. "With just over four months left to election day, the chances of an economic forecast error distorting the results are fading".